How can Ukraine and Russia resolve their conflicts?

Ukraine is not in particularily great shape either, although perhaps better than is expected of a country that waged a war of attrition for three years against a neighbor four times their own size. How relevant are the recent studies of public opinion in Ukraine that the country should compromise with Russia is debatable, but it’s clear the enthusiasm to win the war no matter what is wearing off. Trumpistani proposal to end the war in Ukraine may actually be acceptable to a majority of Ukrainians, although I’m not sure if it would fly with Russia.

War. War never changes

It might not matter. With the new developments in Syria Russia may soon face an uncomfortable choice of pursuing the fruitless war in Ukraine and lose Assad as an ally, or else end the war in Ukraine and justify that by the need to help our Assad. It’s sometihng the Kremlin can point to as an excuse for their choice of action and it could be Russians, who are also tired of the war in Ukraine, would accept that.

Why do I feel so lazy every time I get into my room?

Both countries are nearing the end of their respective strength. Russia just committed the bulk of their armored farces to attack the Ukrainian saillent at Kursk. The results are a little less spectacular than when Nazis tried the same in the same area 81 years ago, marginal gains and irreplacable losses. Some reports say Russians actually ran out of available armor around Kursk and are now relying on pure infantry assaults.

As of late 2024 it looks like it will end with mutual exhaustion.

Russian armored vehicle storage was epic and bottomless and it ran out. They still have some tanks and mobile artillery sure, but by now it’s all beyond economic repair. It takes more money to restore these old vehicles than it would to build new ones. Russians are still doing it, because their industrial capacity to build new vehicles is overextended and new capacity is not forthcoming. Russia is also running out of money, as the recent collapse in the value of the rubble indicates.

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We’ll see. But right now it seems as if the war could realistically burn itself out. What follows after is anyones’ guess though.